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Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: A new President-elect awaits us

admin2020z by admin2020z
November 6, 2020
in POLITICS
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We are awaiting calls and results from states like Arizona, Nevada and Georgia. But…. Pennsylvania!! And don’t underestimate how difficult Joe Biden’s feat was. He needed to prevail in a two front war against an incumbent president using every dirty trick presidential power allows AND a conservative media ecosystem arrayed against him.

Makes you appreciate the forces arrayed against Hillary, btw. But Biden was disciplined and had the secret weapon of decency. And this time, it was enough. 

Here’s where things stand at 6:40 am ET. *Joe Biden erases Donald Trump’s lead in Georgia. Biden now up by 1,096 votes. *Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania shrinks to 18,229. Over 160,000 ballots uncounted. *Biden still leads in Ariz. by 1.6% and Nevada by 0.9% pic.twitter.com/INIZQWOkV1

— Jim Roberts (@nycjim) November 6, 2020

Hard to overstate how angry Trump’s advisers are at Fox right now. Just incandescent.

— Jonathan Swan (@jonathanvswan) November 5, 2020

That Jonathan Swan tweet is why Donald Trump went out at 6:30 pm in a nationally televised rant to claim the election was fraudulent.

Abraham Lincoln was elected President 160 years ago today: pic.twitter.com/ZgTMCgnP5v

— Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) November 6, 2020

NY Times:

Trump breaks silence in statement full of falsehoods.

President Trump broke a two-day silence with reporters to deliver a brief statement filled with egregious falsehoods and smears about the election process as workers in a handful of states continued to tabulate votes.

The president painted the election results so far as part of a broad conspiracy to deprive him of a second term by Democrats, election officials in various cities and the news media.

“If you count the legal votes, I easily win,” Mr. Trump began when he took the podium in the White House briefing room, a false statement that cast aspersion on the rest of the election. He offered no evidence; instead, he listed a series of conspiracy theories about why ballots arrived late in some places.

I’ve read or watched all of Trump’s speeches since 2016. This is the most dishonest speech he has ever given.

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 5, 2020

NBC breaks away to say Trumps allegations are false

— Greg Dworkin (@DemFromCT) November 5, 2020

And so did ABC, NPR and other outlets. Finally.

We want every vote counted, yes every legal vote (of course). But, if you have legit concerns about fraud present EVIDENCE and take it to court. STOP Spreading debunked misinformation… This is getting insane.

— Adam Kinzinger (@RepKinzinger) November 6, 2020

This is dangerous stuff from POTUS. The temperature is hot, yet people are being patient and responsible throughout the vote count. And now he is doing everything possible to unsettle the situation. This is height of being unpresidential.

— Julian Zelizer (@julianzelizer) November 5, 2020

And all of that led to this:

It’s annoying to see it go down this way but the coverage of Trump’s bogus claims has been very solid and I think prudentially this is a good way to handle it. But Trump is cooked here even if Wasserman won’t say the words.

— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) November 6, 2020

And this:

I see…what you did there. https://t.co/5eQbYHZ0Du

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 6, 2020

(stage whisper: hive sea knee off)

Nate Cohn/Upshot:

Why Has The Times Not Called Arizona?

Other outlets feel they’re sure, but we’re not certain enough about the votes that remain to be counted.

The Associated Press and Fox News have called Arizona for Joe Biden. The New York Times has not.

In most races, The Times automatically accepts the race calls made by The A.P. But in the most important races, we independently evaluate whether to accept an A.P. call, based on our own analysis.

The main reason we have not yet accepted the call in Arizona? We do not believe there’s solid enough data on the votes that remain to be counted after Election Day. The data we do have suggests that President Trump could fare well. Mr. Biden was and is still favored in our view. But on Tuesday night and afterward, there was no way to preclude, based on hard evidence, the possibility that Mr. Trump could win. That’s what a race call means to us.

As of 1:30 p.m. Eastern time Thursday, CNN, NBC News, ABC News, CBS News, DecisionDesk HQ and Reuters had not called Arizona.

An enduring factor about “low Latino turnout” is turnout is often presented as a % of voting eligible. But when measured by % of registered Latinos, the picture changes. The key to turnout is engaging the community years before you ask for their vote. https://t.co/f3zgcJl73L pic.twitter.com/4AN2oKbkd1

— Stephen Nuño-Perez (@SNunoPerez) November 5, 2020

Tom Nichols/Atlantic:

A Large Portion of the Electorate Chose the Sociopath

America will have to contend with that fact.

The moment every Donald Trump opponent has been waiting for is at hand: Joe Biden seems to be taking the lead. So why am I not happy?

I am certainly relieved. A Biden victory would be an infinitely better result than a Trump win. If Trump were to maintain power, our child-king would be unfettered by bothersome laws and institutions. The United States would begin its last days as a democracy, finally stepping over the ledge into authoritarianism.

A win for Biden would forestall that terrible possibility.

But no matter how this election concludes, America is now a different country. Nearly half of the voters have seen Trump in all of his splendor—his infantile tirades, his disastrous and lethal policies, his contempt for democracy in all its forms—and they decided that they wanted more of it. His voters can no longer hide behind excuses about the corruption of Hillary Clinton or their willingness to take a chance on an unproven political novice. They cannot feign ignorance about how Trump would rule. They know, and they have embraced him.

Don’t destroy any records https://t.co/d7h4GJhfm8

— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) November 4, 2020

As someone noted,Trump tweets have more warnings than a pack of cigarettes.

“A presidency born in a lie about Barack Obama’s birthplace appeared on the edge of ending in a lie about his own faltering bid for re-election.” By @peterbakernyt @maggieNYT https://t.co/JV5bvcaY6n

— Cliff Levy (@cliffordlevy) November 6, 2020

WaPo:

Black voters could save Biden’s campaign once again

For the second time in Joe Biden’s presidential bid, his campaign is on the brink, as razor-thin margins separate him and President Trump in battleground states where votes are still being counted.

And for the second time this election cycle, it could be Black voters who propel the Democrat to victory — just as they resuscitated Biden in the South Carolina primary.

I’m getting the hang of commenting on US politics – if Trump scrapes home in the electoral college, but loses popular vote in 2016, the Democrats are out of touch. – if Biden scrapes home in the electoral college, and wins popular vote in 2020, the Democrats are out of touch.

— Henry Mance (@henrymance) November 5, 2020

Tim Alberta/Politico magazine:

Three Reasons Biden Flipped the Midwest

Trump gave away his gains with key groups from four years ago and Biden reclaimed lost Democratic ground.

1) Biden kept Trump from running up the score with working-class whites

2) Biden peeled away Trump’s support in conservative suburbs

3) Biden got Black voters to turn out in big numbers

Biden won WI by 20k votes. Clinton lost WI by 23k votes. The difference? Trump’s bleeding in the wealthy white MKE burbs. 2016 Washington: Trump +40 Waukesha: Trump +27 Ozaukee: Trump +19 2020 Washington: Trump +38 Waukesha: Trump +21 Ozaukee: Trump +12https://t.co/YcepJwppFC

— Tim Alberta (@TimAlberta) November 5, 2020

Jack Jenkins/Religious News Service:

How Trump’s strong play for Hispanic evangelicals helped him stun Biden in Florida

‘I think the Biden campaign is going to say, ‘We blew it: we took for granted the Latino vote and the evangelical vote,’’ said the Rev. Tony Suarez, vice president of the National Hispanic Christian Leadership Conference

One answer, said the Rev. Gabriel Salguero, founder of the National Latino Evangelical Coalition and Florida resident, is religion.

“It confirmed what I’ve been saying for about three or four election cycles: that Latinos are not a monolith writ large, and that Hispanic evangelicals are quintessential swing voters,” said Salguero, who served on the White House’s Advisory Council on Faith-Based and Neighborhood Partnerships under former President Barack Obama.

Salguero pointed to two major Hispanic voting blocs in the state: ones with ties to Cuba, which President Donald Trump carried with 55%, according to NBC exit polls, and others with ties to Puerto Rico, only 30% of whom backed the president.

Cubans and Puerto Ricans, Salguero noted, represent roughly the same percentage of the Florida electorate — around 29% and 27%, respectively, according to Pew Research. But Hispanic evangelicals, while a small group overall, overlap with both groups and tend to be swayed by issues rather than loyalty to one party.

“You have those very close races, and who’s going to make the difference? Probably the quintessential faith voter in Orlando, in Tampa and in Miami.”

NBC: ESPER has prepared a resignation letter, say officials Esper also plans to help Congress draft legislation to strip military bases of Confederate names, which could further alienate him from Trump. https://t.co/mUWT7ANAlt

— Scott Wong (@scottwongDC) November 5, 2020

Brandon Sanchez/Commonweal:

The Complicated Case of Hispanic Voters

‘The Hispanic Republican’

[The historian Geraldo] Cadava helpfully looks beyond the “anti-Castro Cuban” archetype in favor of a more expansive view of who constitutes the Hispanic electorate, encompassing immigrants who fled conflict in Mexico and Central America. Ronald Reagan, in particular, was seen as an anti-communist cowboy. During his reelection campaign, U.S. Treasurer Katherine Ortega, a prominent Hispanic Reagan-Bush supporter, told crowds that the Carter-Mondale administration’s weak leadership had “‘left the door open’ to Communist threats far and near.”

But what was the substance of this American mythology? For Hispanic Republicans, it most of all has been the idea that hard work would lead to success—the promise of upward mobility. And if you consider yourself a hard worker deserving of wealth and status, you’ll always be able to find a scapegoat to deem undeserving and less hardworking: a drain on resources. Cadava is most persuasive whenever he tentatively edges toward the importance of anti-Blackness to the story he tells, hinting at the importance that the architecture of whiteness—and the yearning for proximity to whiteness—plays in American politics.

Don’t get me wrong—the first vote lawfully cast and the last vote lawfully cast are worth exactly the same. But in many states, including some of those we’re fixated on today, there’s no correlation between when they’re cast and when they’re counted. And *that* is why we wait.

— Steve Vladeck (@steve_vladeck) November 4, 2020

Tom McTague/Atlantic:

The President Confirms the World’s Fears

Trump railed baselessly against fraud and laid claim to an election whose result remains in doubt.

Before today, the American president himself could be loathed or ridiculed, the nature of American power challenged, and even the corruption of American politics debated. Yet few doubted the strength of America’s constitutional nature, the foundation upon which it built its republic. There have been disputed elections before—hanging chads and worse—but Trump’s comments, made before all the votes have been tallied nationwide and with multiple states up for grabs, signaled a break. This is no constitutional crisis, yet, but a president laying claim to an office he has not won (albeit one he might) is a crisis of its own.

NEW from me + @BrandyZadrozny : Pro-Trump operatives, some who were behind #WeBuildTheWall, coordinated those viral #StopTheSteal Facebook events. Facebook shut them down.https://t.co/xptsIWXHe3

— Ben Collins (@oneunderscore__) November 5, 2020

Lou Dobbs is not okay. He’s berating Ric Grenell on Fox Biz, saying “why isn’t the Republican Party en masse demanding the Department of Justice move in here?” Jesse Watters is giving a similar rant on Fox now… pic.twitter.com/FJuLHXw5ax

— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) November 5, 2020

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Tags: AbbreviatedPunditRound-upAbbreviatedPunditRoundUpAPR

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